Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.190235 0.216706 0.245130 0.277874 0.314504 0.354171 0.400325
2025-11-16 0.151171 0.185755 0.225408 0.274067 0.331986 0.398532 0.480582
2025-11-23 0.124118 0.162955 0.210092 0.271150 0.347745 0.440212 0.559808
2025-11-30 0.107375 0.149508 0.203276 0.276289 0.372119 0.492795 0.655313
2025-12-07 0.092295 0.135692 0.193684 0.275888 0.388273 0.535228 0.740346
2025-12-14 0.080345 0.124226 0.185406 0.275598 0.403534 0.576573 0.825920
2025-12-21 0.070846 0.114812 0.178575 0.276027 0.418996 0.618380 0.914051
2025-12-28 0.063966 0.108280 0.174923 0.280196 0.439432 0.667721 1.015075
2026-01-04 0.058807 0.103676 0.173467 0.287116 0.463902 0.723795 1.128546
2026-01-11 0.053369 0.097899 0.169470 0.289492 0.481273 0.770049 1.229827
2026-01-18 0.049248 0.093779 0.167582 0.294778 0.503134 0.823863 1.344955
2026-01-25 0.046092 0.090919 0.167384 0.302578 0.529205 0.885239 1.474561
2026-02-01 0.041416 0.084940 0.161576 0.300912 0.540415 0.925068 1.574662
2026-02-08 0.037386 0.079661 0.156435 0.299854 0.552412 0.966699 1.679870
2026-02-15 0.033767 0.074710 0.151354 0.298361 0.563379 1.007060 1.785016
2026-02-22 0.031612 0.072379 0.150822 0.304902 0.588572 1.072204 1.934195
2026-03-01 0.028883 0.068527 0.147008 0.304984 0.602151 1.118276 2.053584
2026-03-08 0.026434 0.064947 0.143344 0.304953 0.615353 1.164188 2.174771
2026-03-15 0.024307 0.061795 0.140197 0.305582 0.629665 1.212593 2.302429
2026-03-22 0.022775 0.059785 0.139166 0.310239 0.651742 1.275779 2.458911
2026-03-29 0.021639 0.058550 0.139620 0.317873 0.679917 1.351264 2.640701
2026-04-05 0.020170 0.056330 0.137741 0.320505 0.698398 1.409791 2.794439
2026-04-12 0.019075 0.054885 0.137410 0.326313 0.723454 1.481640 2.975657